US Housing Analysis and Forecast

US Housing Analysis and Forecast


Access JBREC’s national housing thesis on all macro US issues impacting the housing market. Get insights and analysis on economic growth and risks, consumer behavior and finances, mortgage underwriting and policy, first-time and investor buyer activity, and national demand and supply.

Must be subscribed to one of our main research membership packages. Not available to New Home Trends Institute members.

Track vital macroeconomic metrics impacting the housing market

Understand JBREC’s thesis around the housing market and economy.

Our state of the union national report covers our current and expected thoughtful analysis on where we think the market is heading.

View JBREC’s four-year US national forecasts.

We have both a top down (economics, demographics, cyclical analysis) and a bottoms up (local feasibility studies, consumer surveys, team members in many geographies) approach to our forecasting process.

Review the most likely scenarios playing out for the housing industries.

Monitor historical trends and data.

Receive insights on economic growth, affordability, consumer behavior, new and resale housing market, and much more.

New Construction -Siding, Roof, Gutters, Entry Door
What’s Included in This Report

Get 300+ detailed pages of analysis

All of our reports are delivered via email with a short summary, and are posted in our client portal for easy access. Every month, here’s what you can expect in the US Housing Analysis and Forecast Report:

Burns Affordability Index™ and Burns Under/Overpriced Market Index™

The Burns Affordability Index™ (BAI) measures affordability compared to each market’s historical average, allowing for comparison across geographies and over time. The Burns Under/Overprice Market Index™ measures affordability based on the market’s long-term fundamentals.

Burns Home Value Index™

The Burns Home Value Index™ (BHVI) measures home value trends for all homes (new and resale) in 133 markets, allowing us to report on and forecast price appreciation without the noise of shifts in the mix of homes selling, as well as other issues.

Burns Housing Cycle Risk Index™

The Burns Housing Cycle Risk Index™ (HCRI), measures the underlying market risk associated with market fundamentals (demand, supply, and affordability) and has proven to be a very good single metric for market risk.

Four-year US National Forecasts and Housing Thesis

JBREC’s US national four-year forecasts and housing helps clients understand where the economy and housing market are heading.

Economic Growth and Leading Indicators

Follows both economic growth and leading indicators that may impact the economy and housing market / sentiment.

Other Vital Housing Market Metrics

This report monitors consumer behavior, finance, affordability, investor activity, existing and new home market, and supply indicators at the national level.

Receive accurate answers for these critical questions

How is the housing market nationally?

How should we plan our business over the next four years based on how the economy is performing?

 What should we expect for home price appreciation, rent growth, permits, starts at the national level through the next four years?

What are the economic growth indicators to watch in changing housing market conditions?

How is consumer behavior and financing impacting the housing market? 

What is the health of the new home and existing home market?

Included with all research memberships

Must be subscribed to one of our main research membership packages. Not available to New Home Trends Institute members.

Metro and Regional Housing Package

This package provides a complete picture of housing supply, demand, and affordability through local insight, proprietary surveys, and extensive data analysis. We currently provide an overview of major housing and economic trends across 100 MSAs nationwide.

Single-Family Rental Package


This package provides a comprehensive overview of the single-family rental (SFR) industry’s major markets, including forecasts, SFR market rankings, macro drivers, housing supply, and demographic trends.

Rental Communities Package


This package provides complete look into the multifamily sector, including apartments and dedicated build-to-rent communities. A deep dive into the sector’s major markets, including forecasts, rental market ratings, key fundamentals, economic drivers, demographics, and the impact of alternative housing sectors.

Building Products Package

This package provides current, in-depth insight into building products industry conditions in the country, including a forecast for residential new construction and repair and remodeling spend over the next four years.

Geographic Overview of the Public Home Builders Package

This package is designed for those who compare publicly-traded builders (including securities investors) to each other. Every month we rank each publicly-traded home builder based on the past, current, and forecasted performance of its geographic footprint.

Contact us to maximize your opportunities in the housing market.

If you have any questions about our services or would like to speak to one of our experts about how we can help your business, please contact Client Relations at clientservices@jbrec.com.