Regional Analysis and Forecast

Regional Analysis and Forecast


Make informed housing investment decisions quickly. Access the most current and accurate information for major housing and economic conditions and forecasts across 10 regions and top MSAs.

Track housing metrics in 10 regions across the country

Monitor new home market conditions.

Access timely insight into market trends based on JBREC’s extensive builder outreach, field research, and local expertise.

View JBREC's four-year forecasts by MSA.

See a 4-year pricing forecast for the MSA with JBREC’s proprietary indices and major metrics that impact the housing market.

Target opportunities at the right time.

Get short-and long-term outlooks on the market’s fundamentals and JBREC’s current new home market ratings by MSA, for a quick pulse on the MSA’s health.

Track economic and macro drivers.

See how they impact the 10 regions and top MSAs.

What’s Included in This Report

Get a comprehensive view of your regions

All of our reports are delivered via email with a short summary, and are posted in our client portal for easy access. Every month, here’s what you can expect in the Regional Analysis and Forecast Report:

Burns Affordability Index™ and Burns Under/Overpriced Market Index™

The Burns Affordability Index™ (BAI) measures affordability compared to each market’s historical average, allowing for comparison across geographies and over time. The Burns Under/Overprice Market Index™ measures affordability based on the market’s long-term fundamentals. 

Burns Home Value Index™

The Burns Home Value Index™ (BHVI) measures home value trends for all homes (new and resale), allowing us to report on and forecast price appreciation without the noise of shifts in the mix of homes selling, as well as other issues.

Burns Housing Cycle Risk Index™

The Burns Housing Cycle Risk Index™ (HCRI), measures the underlying market risk associated with market fundamentals (demand, supply, and affordability) and has proven to be a very good single metric for market risk.

Current New Home Market Conditions

Each month, JBREC rates current new home market conditions of specific MSAs based on our proprietary builder survey, local consultant feedback from market visits, analyst reviews of relevant data, and John Burns’ market expertise. This helps our clients understand sales and pricing indicators.

Four-Year Forecasts

View JBREC’s four-year forecasts to measure future market sentiment. See a four-year pricing forecast for the MSA with our proprietary indices and major metrics that impact the housing market.

Community Count Growth and Top Builders

Every quarter, JBREC visit public, large, and small builders’ websites to understand the new construction supply in the market. This helps clients view community count growth and see the top builders in each market.

Receive accurate answers for these critical questions

How much home appreciation can I expect across the 10 regions and top MSAs over the next four years?

How many new jobs and permits are forecasted across the 10 regions and top MSAs over the next four years?

Are market fundamentals better or worse than they were a month or a year ago?

Which markets should I invest capital in?

What are the current new home sales and pricing conditions for this MSA?

Which regions have the best and worst market fundamentals?

Included with the following research memberships

Metro and Regional Housing Package

This package provides a complete picture of housing supply, demand, and affordability through local insight, proprietary surveys, and extensive data analysis. We currently offer an overview of major housing and economic trends across 100 MSAs nationwide.

Building Products Package

This package provides current, in-depth insight into building products industry conditions across the country, including a forecast for residential new construction and repair and remodeling spend over the next four years.

Geographic Overview of the Public Home Builders Package

This package is designed for those who compare publicly-traded builders (including securities investors) to each other. Every month we rank each publicly-traded home builder based on the past, current, and forecasted performance of its geographic footprint.

Contact us to maximize your opportunities in the housing market.

If you have any questions about our services or would like to speak to one of our experts about how we can help your business, please contact Client Relations at clientservices@jbrec.com.