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Homebuilder Analysis and Forecast

Homebuilder Analysis and Forecast

Monthly
Quickly compare the publicly traded builders to each other based on their geographic footprint (community counts).

Rank and compare each of the publicly traded builders

Location comparisons and community counts.

View the public builders’ geographic footprint and rate of change for new home supply (community counts).

Understand public builders' current new home market conditions.

Monitor new home market conditions across the public builders’ geographic footprint.

Rank the public builders based on their past, current, and future market performance.

Compare builders based on their geographic footprint overlayed across a multitude of housing metrics (ex: home prices, permits, resale supply).

What’s Included in This Report

Receive timely builder insights

All of our reports are delivered via email with a short summary, and are posted in our client portal for easy access. Every month, here’s what you can expect in the Homebuilder Analysis and Forecast Report:

Burns Affordability Index™ and Burns Under/Overpriced Market Index™

The Burns Affordability Index™ (BAI) measures affordability compared to each market’s historical average, allowing for comparison across geographies and over time. The Burns Under/Overprice Market Index™ measures affordability based on the market’s long-term fundamentals. 

Burns Home Value Index™

The Burns Home Value Index™ (BHVI) measures home value trends for all homes (new and resale), allowing us to report on and forecast price appreciation without the noise of shifts in the mix of homes selling, as well as other issues.

Burns Housing Cycle Risk Index™

The Burns Housing Cycle Risk Index™ (HCRI), measures the underlying market risk associated with market fundamentals (demand, supply, and affordability) and has proven to be a very good single metric for market risk.

Current New Home Market Conditions

Each month, JBREC rates current new home market conditions of specific MSAs based on our proprietary builder survey, local consultant feedback from market visits, analyst reviews of relevant data, and John Burns’ market expertise. This helps our clients understand sales and pricing indicators.

Four-Year Forecasts

View JBREC’s four-year forecasts to measure future market sentiment. See a four-year pricing forecast for the MSA with our proprietary indices and major metrics that impact the housing market. 

Community Count Growth and Top Builders

Every quarter, JBREC visit public, large, and small builders’ websites to understand the new construction supply in the market. This helps clients view community count growth and see the top builders in each market.

Receive accurate answers for these critical questions

Which builders should have the largest market growth (new construction and pricing) if they kept pace with their markets (assuming current geographic footprint)?

What is the geographic footprint of the publicly traded builders (community counts)?

Which builders are in the best geographies based on our metro-level forecasts?

How do community counts change quarterly by builder and by region?

Which builders are in the most desirable submarkets with the best market fundamentals?

What are the public builders’ new home market conditions based on their geographic footprint?

Additional reports available in the
Geographic Overview of the Public Homebuilders Package

Regional Analysis and Forecast
Monthly

A report that provides the most current and accurate information for major housing and economic conditions and forecasts across the 10 regions and top MSAs.

US Housing Analysis and Forecast

Monthly

Our national housing thesis on all macro US issues impacting the housing market. Insights and analysis on economic growth and risks, consumer behavior and finances, mortgage underwriting and policy, first-time and investor buyer activity, and national demand and supply. 

Homebuilder Survey

Monthly

Our monthly survey delivers the most timely and accurate insights for new home market conditions, capturing feedback from production homebuilders across the country.

Contact us to maximize your opportunities in the housing market.

If you have any questions about our services or would like to speak to one of our experts about how we can help your business, please contact Client Relations at clientservices@jbrec.com.