Demographics

Shifting Family Structure Hurting Homeownership

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John Burns

March 15, 2017

When researching our new book Big Shifts Ahead, we learned that 40% of all kids are born to an unmarried mom, and 32% of all kids live with only one parent.  Single-parenting has been on the rise for decades.  The expenses of raising children alone make it very difficult to become a homeowner.

Moms are three times as likely to be the single-parent, but single dads are rising at a faster rate.

  • 24% of kids live primarily with Mom (a 400% increase since 1960)
  • 8% of kids live with Dad (a 900% increase since 1960).

In our book, we identified four external influencers that have shifted demographics over time.

Most articles on falling homeownership have focused on two influencers – government policy and the economy.  Clearly, societal shifts (one of the four influencers) has also played a large role.

Many have questioned our forecast of a sub 61% homeownership rate by 2025 as overly bearish. If they would only just run the math themselves, they would realize that is where American homeownership is trending.

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John Burns
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