National Housing Market Outlook

A Four Minute Housing Summary

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John Burns

April 23, 2013

Yesterday, I was on Fox Business Network covering a host of topics. In this quick interview, we were able to discuss the following:

  • Investors: They won’t sell while home prices are going up.
  • Entry-level buyers: 30% of buyers are entry-level which is a typical number, but you would think the percentage would be higher given the recovery and the number of homeowners with no equity.
  • Gen-Y Homeownership: We ballpark that they will achieve 5% lower due to high-debt.  More research is needed here.
  • Normal Seasonal pickup: Let’s not make a headline out of seasonally adjusted annual existing home sales being down 0.6% month over month.
  • California Inventory: Two (2) of our team members have received unsolicited offers on the California homes they live in
  • California Growth: California’s housing market is hot, despite increasing reports from our clients in Texas and Nevada that they are seeing a surge of affluent Californians moving in to avoid the new 13.3% top tax rate.
  • Southeast Lag: The Southeast is late to the recovery partially because investors believe that price appreciation will be less likely (note-our Consulting SVP in Atlanta, David Kalosis, reports that the markets in Atlanta and the Carolinas have improved dramatically this Spring).
  • Fed Stimulus: How long will the Fed keep buying $45 billion per month in mortgage securities to keep rates down?
  • Get in Now: At the risk of sounding like a broken record, monthly housing payments are near all-time lows and are trending up.
  • Pent-up Demand: Consumers can now look in the rear view mirror and see that they should have bought 6 months ago. This should increase demand.

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About The Author

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John Burns
Chief Executive Officer
As CEO, John grows, leads, and supports a team of passionate, articulate, likable, and smart experts. Together, we solve today so our clients can navigate to tomorrow.

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